Wind Crux MageTier 2
at Regionals by HASUYA
decks
2
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-3-3
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1237–1533
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1025
Q1 1218
Q3 1408
1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.1% | -23.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Water Fractal | 7.9% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.6% | +1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
